An interesting thing happened in last week's Eye Poll on the presidential race... nothing. Well, not exactly nothing. We originally ran an unscientific presidential poll the week of August 10th that poll resulted in an 18 point victory for McCain (view it here).
At the time McCain had begun to close on Obama but neither the Democrats nor the Republicans had had their respective conventions. Not to mention the fact that Hurricane Sarah hadn't been spotted making her way from Alaska.
We figured with all of the brouhaha generated by the Palin announcement McCain would have increased his lead over The One Named O by at least a point or two. Surprisingly that didn't happen. McCain came out victorious once again by the exact same margin that he had back in August - 18 points (view it here). That's not to say that there wasn't anything interesting or different about last week's poll.
Polls are most useful in identifying trends. In our little poll there were a couple of things that caught our Eye. First, the number of undecideds had dropped from 4% to 1%, which means to us that the undecided portion of our readership is making up their minds. Second, the number of readers voting for third and fourth party candidates dropped. Nader dropped 4 percentage points and independent candidate Bob Barr garnered only one vote.
Most importantly, the number of participants in our little poll went up significantly from 194 the first time around to 338 the second. Put it all together and you start to see that the presidential contest is starting to firm up. The coveted independents are making their choices and there are fewer and fewer undecided votes to be gotten by either campaign.
This is a very close race and we don't believe that McCain's 18 point lead in our unscientific poll represents a national or statewide trend. However, RealClearPolitics.com's average of daily tracking polls shows the Arizona Senator trending positively while his Democratic rival is falling from his post convention highs (view them here).
If our little poll is any indication, the election is firming up and the outcome will be determined by how many people from the respective camps show up to vote on Election Day.
This week the Eye Poll takes a look at the race for the 2nd Judicial District Attorney. Don't forget to vote!
12 comments:
Palin doesn't believe in dinosaurs.
Yet she believes in the literal interpretation of the Bible.
Isn't it time that we elect a leader who is a critical thinker? Say, the former president of the harvard law review.
The bible contains both the literal and figurative language .... one most be smart enough to know the difference between the two to read it with understanding!
Don't like Obamas new ideas on gun control, better stock up on ammo just in case
Last night Palin announced that she wasn't going to cooperate in an abuse of power investigation that she herself requested. Seriously.
The last eight years the U.S. has been the laughing stock of the world. Elect Mccain and the Hockey
Mom and your putting lipstick on (you know the rest)...
McSame said that he doesn't know much about the economy. Yesterday the Stock Market plunged down 500 points. McCain got on the air and said that 'he believes in the American workers.' REALLY? Does that include the ones laid off on Wall Street yesterday seen walking out with their belongings in boxes? Does he believe in the 24,000 Hewlitt Packard workers due to be laid off over the next 3 years? Oh - Did you know that McCain was a POW?
When Sarah Palin was asked about the Wall Street Bear Market, she screeched, "Put lipstick on those bears and I'll shoot them from the air. Did you know I can see Russia from Alaska?"
Mr Obama claims that his tax policy will reduces taxes on something like 80 to 90 % of Americans.
That has to be a lie since the bottom 30% dont pay income tax.
So what we get is the top 2/3s paying more, in some cases a lot more, to give rebates to the working poor. That my friends is called welfare and is exactly what you get when you put a community organizer in charge of the purse strings.
Two new talking dolls on the market:
John McCain doll - pull his string and he says, "My friends, I was a POW. My freinds, I invented the Black Berry. My friends, I don't know much about the economy."
Sarah Palin doll - pull her string and she says nothing.
"Two new talking dolls on the market:"
Better to reveal nothing by having your strings pulled than by revealing an idiot like the above poster whose strings are yanked by the violent left.
From where I sit, it appears we already look like Russia or Germany and Obama is only a Senator .... Who is the moron here? Obama is my man!
Get a life. No one wants your stupid gun's. No President has taken gun's away from the people. I have guns and Im not a paranoid idiot thinking Obamas going to take my gun's. You should stock up on common sence. Another scare tactic by the Repubs.. Sorry dont want your kool aid..
FREE SARAH!
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