The unofficial results are in and like many of you we're pleased with the results. R.J. Berry will make a good mayor for our fair city and what's more, he earned our trust during his campaign. Richard Romero should also be proud of the campaign he ran. He's an honorable man - a commodity that is in too short a supply these days.
Our predictions weren't too bad overall (see them here). Our major miscalculation was getting carried away with the under vote. It seems we underestimated voters as they were engaged in almost every race.
On the bond issues we nailed it - all of them passed. The quarter cent tax passed as predicted and all of the charter amendments pass. The only one we thought wouldn't pass... did. Prop 2 - the salary commission amendment passed by a healthy margin.
Our biggest miscalculation was over in District 5 where Dan Lewis showed Councilor Cadigan the door with a surprising 12 point trouncing. We knew that Mr. Lewis was working hard but we didn't believe that he'd been able to move the needle as far as it turns out he had.
Congratulations Councilor-Elect Lewis. If you work half as hard at your new job as you did during your campaign, you will be an excellent councilor.
Our best pick of the night was undoubtedly the mayor's race. However, we still got our order wrong. Our predictions were R.J. Berry 41%, Richard Romero 33%, and Martin Chavez 22%. As it turns out Berry ended the night with 43.82%, Chavez with 35.02%, and Romero with 20.98%.
Apparently, Marty's last minute decision to rip into Romero paid some dividends with Democrats. However, the real story is that independents broke hard for Berry and Republicans overwhelmingly withdrew their past support for Chavez and came home to Berry.
There were hints that Marty was in trouble as far back as two years ago, when every candidate backed by or associated with Chavez... lost. The current political environment coupled with the growing Marty-fatigue hinted at in the last city election probably made tonight's result inevitable.
Marty reached 35% immediately and never budged the rest of the night. Voters seemed to flow back and forth between Berry and Romero, with Berry finding surprising strength in precincts where Romero was considered the odds on favorite. What's clear is that there's a solid 35% block of voters citywide. But what's also clear is that a solid 65% of voters wanted someone other than Martin Chavez to be mayor.
Click here to see the unofficial results.